Stochastic analysis in life office management: applications to large annuity portfolios

The paper deals with the riskiness analysis for a large portfolio of life annuities. By means of the limiting distribution of the present value of the portfolio, in the first part of the paper a model for evaluating the investment and the projection risks is presented. In the second part, with regard to the investment risk's effects, the insolvency risk is measured considering the cumulative probability distribution function of the discounted average cost per policy. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Smoothing estimation of rate function for recurrent event data with informative censoring

This paper proposes kernel estimation of the occurrence rate function for recurrent event data with informative censoring. An informative censoring model is considered with assumptions made on the joint distribution of the recurrent event process and the censoring time without modeling the censoring distribution. Under the validity of the informative censoring model, we also show that an estimator based on the assumption of independent censoring becomes inappropriate and is generally asymptotically biased. To investigate the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator, the explicit form of its asymptotic mean squared risk and the asymptotic normality are derived. Meanwhile, the empirical consistent smoothing estimator for the variance function of the estimator is suggested. The performance of the estimators are also studied through Monte Carlo simulations. An epidemiological example of intravenous drug user data is used to show the influence of informative censoring in the estimation of the occurrence rate functions for inpatient cares over time.     

多心理账户下机构投资者的风险优化研究

从决策有限理性角度，引入行为金融理论于机构投资风险优化系统，对多心理账户条件下机构投资的风险优化设计进行了研究。以Friedman和Savage之谜为释例，对机构投资风险优化中的诸多非标准金融异像进行了解释。以Shefrin和Statman行为证券组合理论为核心，建立了多心理账户条件下机构投资的风险优化模型，为机构投资的风险优化实践提供了一种量化分析工具。     

On Non-Continuous Dirichlet Processes

We introduce here some Itô calculus for non-continuous Dirichlet processes. Such calculus extends what was known for continuous Dirichlet processes or for semimartingales. In particular we prove that non-continuous Dirichlet processes are stable under C ¹ transformation.     

基于DS/AHP的供应商选择方法

供应商选择方法有很多种，在众多的方法中层次分析法以能够将定性指标定量化而被广泛应用于供应商选择决策中。考虑到供应商选择问题中包含有很多的不确定性而证据理论在处理不确定问题又有着独特的优点，因此本文采用了一种由层次分析法和证据理论结合而产生的DS／AHP决策方法，并将其应用于供应商选择决策问题中，该方法综合了层次分析法和证据理论的优点，可以更科学的进行供应商选择决策，最后通过一个例子说明这种方法在供应商选择中的应用。     

稀疏过程在破产问题中的应用

本讨论一类人寿保险的风险过程，其中保单到达服从齐次Poisson过程。而描述退保及索赔发生的计数过程分别为这一过程的q-稀疏与p-稀疏．对此模型给出其破产概率的具体上界，并与其它一类风险模型进行比较．     

Synthesis of molecular imprinted organic-inorganic hybrid polymer binding caffeine

Random copolymers of poly{(methacrylamide)-co-(vinyl trimethoxysilane)} and poly{(methacrylic acid)-co-(vinyl trimethoxysilane)} were synthesized via a free radical polymerization reaction. Acid catalyzed sol-gel process of tetraethylorthosilicate (TEOS) with aforementioned polymers in the presence of methyl xanthine class of alkaloid like caffeine resulted in the formation of highly transparent monoliths. Solvent extraction of the template leaves behind the recognition sites intact with high selectivity towards the print molecule. The ionic and non-specific adsorptions, which are considered to be the main disadvantages of the molecularly imprinted polymers (MIP), are prevented to a considerable extent by the end capping of surface silanol groups. The template binding efficiencies of MIP were determined by HPLC analysis.     

Composite Silica Particles Using a Mixture of Organosilane Monomers

Composite silica particles were synthesized by a two-step (acid-base) process in an aqueous solution with a mixture of organoalkoxysilane monomers. The two-step process separates the hydrolysis and condensation procedures to easily control condensation rate. In this study, the silane monomers used were phenyltrimethoxysilane (PTMS), vinyltrimethoxysilane (VTMS), methyltrimethoxysilane (MTMS), and tetraethyl-orthosilicate (TEOS). The physical properties of the resultant composite particles were investigated with the change in the molar ratio of monomers. The size of the particles increased with increasing the molar ratio of R_aSi(OR)₃/R_bSi(OR)₃ or R_aSi(OR)₃/TEOS (R_a: phenyl; R_b: vinyl, methyl).     

溶胶-凝胶法制备小颗粒(Y,Gd)BO_3∶Eu及其表征

用溶胶 凝胶方法制备了平均粒径为 1～ 2 μm的小颗粒、高发射效率的 (Y ,Gd)BO3 ∶Eu红色发射荧光体。用XRD、SEM、粒度分析和PL光谱对荧光体作了表征和研究。常规固相反应合成 (Y ,Gd)BO3 ∶Eu需在 1 2 0 0℃以上才能形成均一的固溶体。而溶胶 凝胶法制取稀土正硼酸盐 80 0℃灼烧已可形成均一的单相 (Y ,Gd)BO3 ∶Eu,在 1 1 0 0℃可得到发光亮度最高的荧光体。它的亮度是常规固相反应于 1 2 0 0℃制得的荧光体的 1 2 0 %。采用溶胶 凝胶法制取 (Y ,Gd)BO3 ∶Eu荧光体 ,可在相当宽的实验条件范围内得到小粒径、窄分布和高亮度的荧光体 ,且有良好的颗粒形貌。     

Harnack inequality for some classes of Markov processes

In this paper we establish a Harnack inequality for nonnegative harmonic functions of some classes of Markov processes with jumps. Mathematics Subject Classification (2000): Primary 60J45, 60J75, Secondary 60J25.This work was completed while the authors were in the Research in Pairs program at the Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut Oberwolfach. We thank the Institute for the hospitality.The research of this author is supported in part by NSF Grant DMS-9803240.The research of this author is supported in part by MZT grant 0037107 of the Republic of Croatia.